Peer-Reviewed Study - State-of-the-Art Actuarial Science - Excess Deaths in Germany

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Peer-Reviewed Study - State-of-the-Art Actuarial Science - Excess Deaths in Germany

Post by clusterchuck » Sat May 27, 2023 2:17 pm

Methods
To calculate the excess mortality in Germany for the pandemic years 2020 to 2022, we compare the reported number of all-cause deaths (i.e., the number of deaths independently of underlying causes) with the number of statistically expected all-cause deaths. For this, the state-of-the-art method of actuarial science, based on population tables, life tables, and longevity trends, is used to estimate the expected number of all-cause deaths from 2020 to 2022 if there had been no pandemic.

GermanExcessDeaths-1.jpg
Figure 8: Number of vaccinations versus excess mortality.
Cumulative number excess of deaths (red line) and a cumulative number of fully vaccinated (blue dashed line) and triple vaccinated (green dashed line) people from March 2020 to December 2022.

"Inspecting the numbers of vaccinations and excess deaths per month confirms the above impression: Other than in the year before, during the months with a high number of the first, second, and third vaccinations, also a high number of excess deaths was observed. The temporal relationship between the courses of vaccinations and excess deaths is especially pronounced for the third vaccination. In September and October 2021, the initial small increase in the number of third vaccinations was accompanied by a comparably small increase in excess deaths. In November and December 2021, the number of third vaccinations increased sharply, accompanied by a comparably sharp increase in excess deaths. In January 2022, the number of third vaccinations decreased sharply, accompanied by a comparably sharp decrease in the number of excess deaths."

As is visible in Figure 8, the obvious hypothesis of a decrease in excess mortality with an increasing number of vaccinated persons is not correct. During periods when many persons were vaccinated, excess mortality seems to have increased more strongly compared to the same periods in the previous pandemic year. During the first and second vaccination periods in spring and summer 2021, an increase in cumulative excess mortality is observed, while the year before a decrease was observed. During the period of the third vaccination, parallel to the increase in vaccinations, an increase in cumulative excess mortality can be observed that starts earlier than in the year before. And in 2022, when large parts of the population have been vaccinated, the cumulative number of excess deaths showed a further increase, which even exceeds the previous pandemic year without vaccinations. There seem to be negative long-term effects either of the SARS-CoV-2 infections, COVID-19 measures, the COVID-19 vaccination, or most probably a combination of these.
To further explore the short-term relationship between vaccinations and excess mortality, the courses of the number of vaccinated persons and the number of excess deaths per month are shown in Figure 9.

GermanExcessDeaths-3.jpg
Figure 9: Number of vaccinations versus excess mortality.
The red line shows the death deficit and the excess deaths, and the four dashed lines the number of vaccinations from January 2021 to December 2022.

Results
The results show that the observed number of deaths in 2020 was close to the expected number with respect to the empirical standard deviation; approximately 4,000 excess deaths occurred. By contrast, in 2021, the observed number of deaths was two empirical standard deviations above the expected number and even more than four times the empirical standard deviation in 2022. In total, the number of excess deaths in the year 2021 is about 34,000 and in 2022 about 66,000 deaths, yielding a cumulated 100,000 excess deaths in both years. The high excess mortality in 2021 and 2022 was mainly due to an increase in deaths in the age groups between 15 and 79 years and started to accumulate only from April 2021 onward. A similar mortality pattern was observed for stillbirths with an increase of about 9.4% in the second quarter and 19.4% in the fourth quarter of the year 2021 compared to previous years. (emphasis added)

GermanExcessDeaths-2.jpg
Figure 6: Stillbirths in the years 2019 to 2022 in Germany.
The first panel shows the number of live births per quarter from 2019 to 2022, the second panel the number of stillbirths per quarter from 2019 to 2022, the third panel the number of stillbirths per 1,000 total births (sum of the number of stillbirths in a quarter and the number of live births in the following quarter) per quarter from 2019 to 2022, and the fourth panel the quarterly increase in the number of stillbirths per 1,000 total births in the years 2021 and 2022 compared to the mean across the years 2019 and 2020.

Conclusions
This study used the state-of-the-art method of actuarial science to estimate the expected number of all-cause deaths and the increase in all-cause mortality for the pandemic years 2020 to 2022 in Germany. In 2020, the observed number of deaths was extremely close to the expected number, but in 2021, the observed number of deaths was far above the expected number in the order of twice the empirical standard deviation, and in 2022, above the expected number even more than four times the empirical standard deviation. The analysis of the age-dependent monthly excess mortality showed that high excess mortality starting from spring 2021 is responsible for the excess mortality in 2021 and 2022. An analysis of the number of stillbirths revealed a similar mortality pattern than observed for the age group between 15 and 80 years.

https://www.cureus.com/articles/149410- ... -2020-2022#!/
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Re: Peer-Reviewed Study - State-of-the-Art Actuarial Science - Excess Deaths in Germany

Post by clusterchuck » Sat May 27, 2023 2:19 pm

Ran out of text space.
Adding the last paragraph under Conclusions

As a starting point for further investigations explaining these mortality patterns, we compared the excess mortality to the number of reported COVID-19 deaths and the number of COVID-19 vaccinations. This leads to several open questions, the most important being the covariation between the excess mortality, the number of COVID-19 deaths, and the COVID-19 vaccinations.
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Re: Peer-Reviewed Study - State-of-the-Art Actuarial Science - Excess Deaths in Germany

Post by clusterchuck » Sat May 27, 2023 3:25 pm

A New Report From the British Heart Foundation Finds an ‘Astonishing Rise’ in the Number of AFIB Cases in the UK

BritishHeartFoundation.jpg

“The new total means that 1 in 45 people in the UK are known to be living with the condition. Someone with atrial fibrillation is five times more likely to have a potentially fatal or life-changing stroke.

‘These figures show a quite astonishing rise in the number of people diagnosed with atrial fibrillation.’”

https://www.bhf.org.uk/what-we-do/news- ... -condition
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Re: Peer-Reviewed Study - State-of-the-Art Actuarial Science - Excess Deaths in Germany

Post by clusterchuck » Sun May 28, 2023 7:11 pm

Microbiologist Kevin McKernan discovered concerning levels of DNA contamination in Pfizer and Moderna vials, including Simian Virus 40 (SV40) promoters tied to cancer development in humans:

"It's in both Moderna and Pfizer. We looked at the bivalent vaccines for both Moderna and Pfizer and only the monovalent vaccines for Pfizer because we didn't have access to monovalent vaccines for Moderna. In all three cases, the vaccines contain double-stranded DNA contamination. If you sequence that DNA, you'll find that it matches what looks to be an expression vector that's used to make the RNA...

Whenever we see DNA contamination, like from plasmids, ending up in any injectable, the first thing people think about is whether there's any E. coli endotoxin present because that creates anaphylaxis for the injected. And, of course, your viewers and listeners are probably aware there's a lot of anaphylaxis going on, not only on TV but in the VAERS database. You can see people get injected with this and drop. That could be the background from this E. coli process of manufacturing the DNA...

At least on the Pfizer side of things, it has what's known as an SV40 promoter. This is an oncogenic virus piece. It's not the entire virus. However, the small piece is known to drive very aggressive gene expression. And the concern that people, even at the FDA, have noted in the past whenever injecting double-stranded DNA is that these things can then integrate into the genome. If you're not careful with how you manufacture these things, and you have excess amounts of this DNA, your concern for genome integration goes up...

If you get an SV40 promoter in front of an oncogene, you will end up with a high expression of a gene that can drive cancer, it will be a very rare event, but you don't need many of these cells to be hit with something like this for it to take off. SV40 actually plagued, granted it was the full viral genome, not just the promoter, but this has plagued previous vaccine programs. The polio vaccine is one of them that they were concerned that this may have contributed to cancer from that vaccine. So there's a history of being concerned over SV40.

Having the promoter inside some of these vectors isn't necessary. It seems to be superfluous oversight they could have eliminated, yet it's still there because they ran this out the door so quickly, they didn't really have time to get rid of superfluous parts of the plasmid. So, that piece of DNA is something we really need to pay attention to. We've made quantitative PCR assays to hunt for this. So several researchers around the globe are now running these assays to look for how much of this DNA is floating around after people have been vaccinated."

Preprint:
Sequencing of bivalent Moderna and Pfizer mRNA vaccines reveals nanogram to microgram quantities of expression vector dsDNA per dose
AUTHORS: Kevin McKernan, Yvonne Helbert, Liam T. Kane, Stephen McLaughlin
https://osf.io/b9t7m/

Podcast:
The Man Who Found DNA Toxins in Pfizer & Moderna Vials | Guest: Kevin McKernan | 5/19/23
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/t ... 0613696167
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Re: Peer-Reviewed Study - State-of-the-Art Actuarial Science - Excess Deaths in Germany

Post by psk836 » Mon May 29, 2023 4:29 pm

Think of all the blue pilled ticking time bombs.

Still loyal to the cabal that lit their fuses.
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Re: Peer-Reviewed Study - State-of-the-Art Actuarial Science - Excess Deaths in Germany

Post by Chester Cheesewright » Mon May 29, 2023 4:43 pm

psk836 wrote:
Mon May 29, 2023 4:29 pm
Think of all the blue pilled ticking time bombs.

Still loyal to the cabal that lit their fuses.
► I’m glad you brought that up
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Re: Peer-Reviewed Study - State-of-the-Art Actuarial Science - Excess Deaths in Germany

Post by psk836 » Mon May 29, 2023 6:03 pm

Chester Cheesewright wrote:
Mon May 29, 2023 4:43 pm
psk836 wrote:
Mon May 29, 2023 4:29 pm
Think of all the blue pilled ticking time bombs.

Still loyal to the cabal that lit their fuses.
► I’m glad you brought that up
Yeah. Now you have something to think about. Your own death instead of killing the Jews.
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Re: Peer-Reviewed Study - State-of-the-Art Actuarial Science - Excess Deaths in Germany

Post by clusterchuck » Mon May 29, 2023 6:27 pm

International Covid Summit hosted by European Parliament.
May 3, 2023

The last three years took us all by surprise. We were separated from each other, isolated and afraid. Now that that is coming to an end, we want to unite and combine all that we have learned from all over the world to start healing and make sure this never happens again.

We are organizing an International Covid Summit to be held in the European Parliament, Brussels on May 3, 2023. This event is aimed to comprehensively and objectively look at important details surrounding covid-19 and the pandemic.

We are bringing world renowned professionals from around the globe to Brussels in order to discuss the scientific, social, medical and legal statistics and findings of the last three years. By taking an in-depth other, isolated and afraid.

This event is aimed to comprehensively and objectively look at important details look at this important information, these professionals can provide positive strategies and suggestions to help us all move forward from this pandemic constructively, proactively and productively.

AGENDA

EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT, BRUSSELS, ROOM PHS1A2

8:30 - 9:00
REGISTRATION
9:00 - 9:10
WELCOMING REMARKS FROM MEMBERS OF THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT
MR. CRISTIAN TERHEȘ, European Conservatives and Reformists - ROMANIA
MR. IVAN VILIBOR SINČIĆ, Non-attached Member of the European Parliament - CROATIA

9:10 - 9:15
WELCOME ADDRESS FROM THE ICS ORGANIZATIONAL TEAM
DR. STEPHEN MALTHOUSE, MODERATOR - CANADA

9:15 – 10:30
COVID – 19: THE WHOLE TRUTH FROM THE BEGINNING
DR. DAVID MARTIN - USA, the gathering storm - the cost of silenced questions
NICK HUDSON - SOUTH AFRICA, mandates and lockdowns without data or science
PROFESSOR CIRO ISIDORO - ITALY, Covid-19: a novel disease that resembles an old disease
PROFESSOR GIOVANNI MELEDANDRI - ITALY, interdisciplinary insights from the Sars-Cov-2 and Covid-19
DR. ANDREA STRAMEZZI - ITALY, early responses: boots on the ground in Italy

10:30 – 11:30
EFFECTS OF MANDATES, EARLY TREATMENT AND MEDIA
DR. LOUIS FOUCHE - FRANCE, effects of mandates – masks and lockdowns
PROFESSOR DIDIER RAOULT - FRANCE, early treatment: hydroxychloroquine and the IHU
PROFESSOR PHILIPPE BROUQUI - FRANCE, early treatment: hydroxychloroquine and the IHU
DR. PIERRE KORY - USA, ivermectin and suppression of early treatment
JASON CHRISTOFF - CANADA, media over medicine: the power of media

11:30 – 12:00
THE COVID - 19 VACCINE: TRIAL DATA AND THE EFFICACY
DR. BYRAM BRIDLE – CANADA, the Covid-19 Vaccine Trials
DR. HARVEY RISCH - USA, the efficacy of the Covid-19 vaccines

12:00 - 12:15
DISCUSSION SESSION WITH MEMBERS OF THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT
MRS. FRANCESCA DONATO, Non-attached Member of the European Parliament - ITALY
MR. MISLAV KOLAKUŠIĆ, Non-attached Member of the European Parliament - CROATIA
MRS. CHRISTINE ANDERSON, Identity and Democracy - GERMANY

12:15 - 13:00
LUNCH AND NETWORKING
13:00 – 13:35
THE COVID - 19 VACCINE: EFFECTS ON REPRODUCTIVE SYSTEM
PROFESSOR GIUSEPPE TRITTO - ITALY, effects of vaccine on male fertility
DR. NATALIA PREGO - SPAIN, effects of vaccine on female fertility
PROFESSOR GIOVANNI FRAJESE-ITALY, Human reproduction and mRNA vaccines. Missing studies

13:35 – 14:05
THEN THEY CAME FOR THE CHILDREN
DR. KIRK MILHOAN - USA, effects of Covid-19 virus in children
DR. ALEJANDRO DIAZ VILLALOBO – MEXICO, effects of Covid-19 vaccine in children
EMMANUELLE DARLES – FRANCE, effects of mandates on children

14:05 – 14:40
THE COVID - 19 VACCINE: TRIAL DATA, INJURIES AND SIDE EFFECTS
14:50 – 15:30
STATISTICS FOR ALL-CAUSE MORTALITY AND VAERS
VINCENT PAVAN - FRANCE, statistics for all-cause mortality in France
PROFESSOR THEO SCHETTERS - NETHERLANDS, statistics for all-cause mortality in Netherlands
PROFESSOR HERVE SELIGMANN- GERMANY, statistics for all-cause mortality in Europe
DR. JESSICA ROSE - CANADA, vaccine adverse event reporting system (VAERS)

15:30 - 17:00
LEGALITIES AND FREEDOMS SURROUNDING THE PANDEMIC
MARIA GUTSCHI - CANADA, what they did not tell us: approval process of the vaccines
DAVID WISEMAN - UK, what they did not tell us: approval process of the vaccines
EVA VLAARDINGERBROEK- NETHERLANDS, effects on land, food, energy and travel
PROFESSOR CHRISTIAN PERRONNE - FRANCE, medical suppressions
DR. AMIN UMLIL -FRANCE, medical freedom
RENATE HOLZEISEN - ITALY, the legalities surrounding the pandemic
DR. MERYL NASS - USA, W.H.O., I.H.R. - treaty and the pandemic accord
DR. KATARINA LINDLEY - CROATIA, W.H.O., I.H.R. - treaty and the pandemic accord

17:00 - 17:15
THE BIG PICTURE AND MOVING FORWARD
DR. ROBERT MALONE - USA

17:15 - 18:00
CONCLUSIONS FROM THE MEMBERS OF THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT
MR. IVAN VILIBOR SINČIĆ, Non-attached Member of the European Parliament - CROATIA
MRS. FRANCESCA DONATO, Non-attached Member of the European Parliament - ITALY
MR. MISLAV KOLAKUŠIĆ, Non-attached Member of the European Parliament - CROATIA
MRS. CHRISTINE ANDERSON, Identity and Democracy - GERMANY
MR. CRISTIAN TERHEȘ, European Conservatives and Reformists - ROMANIA

Cont...
Last edited by clusterchuck on Mon May 29, 2023 6:53 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Peer-Reviewed Study - State-of-the-Art Actuarial Science - Excess Deaths in Germany

Post by clusterchuck » Mon May 29, 2023 6:30 pm

Key points raised during the Summit:

► Coronavirus gain-of-function began in the 60s.

► $10,000,000,000 of your money was "invested" in NIAD/Fauci programs, matching DOD bio defense budgets, dollar for dollar.

► 2002, NIAD/Fauci file biological weapons patent for SARS.

► 2003, CDC filed the patent on coronavirus isolated from humans with a sequence from China.

► 2005, SARS labeled "bioweapons platform technology."

► 2005, SARS is classified as "biological warfare enabling technology."

► 2014, University of NC Chapel Hill exempted from gain-of-function moratorium by NIAD/Fauci.

► 2016, National Academy of Sciences announced, "SARS coronavirus WIV1 poised for human emergence."
WIV1 stands for, Wuhan Institute of Virology Virus 1.

► April 2019, 4x stated, "There is going to be an accidental or intentional release of a respiratory pathogen." Key word "release".

► 766M infected worldwide.

► 7M deaths (excluding VAERS).

► Covid-19 was an act of biological warfare perpetrated on the human race. It was a financial heist. Nature was hijacked. Science was hijacked. Free speech was oppressed and dissenting voices were persecuted.

For your reference:

13 minute review of Summit 3 w/intro commentary by Dr. John Campbell: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TuZ7-J7d0jk
You'll note Dr. Campbell cuts off the last Parliament member closing statement because his comments are "risky" on youtube. Unfortunately, censorship imposed over the last several years remains in place on many big tech platforms.

Youtube videos: for whatever reason, cameras used in these recordings remained on the speakers, so there are no accompanying slides.
3rd Summit Part 1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bFLPWWCAHfQ
3rd Summit Part 2: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vJ93mW_sMPo

Dr. David Martin 21 minute presentation: https://mega.nz/file/gaQB0SoJ#jAtPhDFOD ... ijNmur7VCI (No Slides)

This 8 hour 39 minute recording includes slides & supporting data presented to the live audience. Dr. Martin presentation begins around the 13 minute mark:
https://live.childrenshealthdefense.org ... nce-may-4/

The International Covid Summit site: https://www.internationalcovidsummit.com/
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Re: Peer-Reviewed Study - State-of-the-Art Actuarial Science - Excess Deaths in Germany

Post by Chester Cheesewright » Mon May 29, 2023 6:51 pm

psk836 wrote:
Mon May 29, 2023 6:03 pm
Chester Cheesewright wrote:
Mon May 29, 2023 4:43 pm
psk836 wrote:
Mon May 29, 2023 4:29 pm
Think of all the blue pilled ticking time bombs.

Still loyal to the cabal that lit their fuses.
► I’m glad you brought that up
Yeah. Now you have something to think about. Your own death instead of killing the Jews.
► Well, if the Israelis are against killing Jews, they can hire mercs, or get their thieving little fannies back over the green line
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► Watching fat cats get taxed touches the very depths of a Republican’s soul

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