We Just Experienced Greatest Global Cooling Period Of The Last Century

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psk836
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Re: We Just Experienced Greatest Global Cooling Period Of The Last Century

Post by psk836 » Tue May 01, 2018 4:12 pm

Global warming science, where the future is known but the past is always changing.
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psk836
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Re: We Just Experienced Greatest Global Cooling Period Of The Last Century

Post by psk836 » Wed May 02, 2018 8:46 am

Sorry but, hear no evil, see no evil, publish no evil won't airbrush out "the pause".

The conversation is changing....

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2018/05/02/ ... o-shatter/

'“The IPCC estimates climate sensitivity at 1.5˚C to 4.5˚C, but that estimate is based on computer climate models that failed to predict the absence of warming since 1995and predicted, on average, four times as much warming as actually occurred from 1979 to the present. It is therefore not credible. Newer, observationally based estimates have ranges like 0.3˚C to 1.0˚C (NIPCC 2013a, p. 7) or 1.25˚C to 3.0˚C – with a best estimate of 1.75˚C (Lewis and Crok 2013, p. 9). Further, “No empirical evidence exists to support the assertion that a planetary warming of 2°C would be net ecologically or economically damaging” (NIPCC 2013a, p. 10).” [Abbreviated references are identified here.]

However, most of the lower estimates of equilibrium climate sensitivity were published in places that are not controlled by “consensus” scientists and thus were written off or ignored.

Now, though, a journal dead center in the “consensus” – the American Meteorological Society’s Journal of Climate – has accepted a new paper, “The impact of recent forcing and ocean heat uptake data on estimates of climate sensitivity,” by Nicholas Lewis and Judith Curry. It concludes that ECS is very likely just 50–70% as high as the “consensus” range. (Lewis is an independent climate science researcher in the UK. Curry was Professor and Chair of the School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences at the Georgia Institute of Technology and now is President of the Climate Forecast Applications Network.)"
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